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Moore's Law, There May be Hope for You Yet

22nd September 2010
By K. Smith in Law
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Ever since the 1950s, we have accepted Moore’s Law that CPU performance doubles every one and a half years. This theory wasn’t questioned until a couple of years ago.
Over time, processing units became infinitesimally small. They reached the point that changes in size would not be enough to provide significant changes in performance. Many scientists and engineers feel that Moore’s Law has outlived itself. Others argue that Moore’s Law may be brought back to life in the future with new advances in technology.
These experts argue that there is still hope for the industry if we were to refocus our efforts on using parallel processing. With this shift, processing speed may increase at a greater rate than Moore’s Law originally predicted. Of course, this would still be a short term solution.
What other solutions are there to the stagnant growth of CPU processing speed? Molecular electronics is new field that also presents new opportunities for the industry. In fact, molecular electronics could rewrite Moore’s Law and increasing processing capabilities in a way that we never would have dreamed of before. Nanotechnology has created potential for change in more areas of our lives than we can think of, but electronics is perhaps one of the fields that we may most commonly associate it with.

Progression can be reborn if companies are willing to adapt new processes. In the meantime, we must all contend with the fact that computing power is not going to increase significantly for a while. This may not be what we want to hear, but is something we need to be ready for.
Technological progression has never shown a consistent or perfectly linear growth pattern. Innovation in computer processing capabilities cannot be expected to follow such growth indefinitely. We have currently reached a phase where growth has disappeared as chip manufacturers continue to use the same manufacturing processes they have used since the mid-1960s. These are obviously becoming outdated and cannot be reliable for powering machines that are expected to have hundreds of times the computing power in devices that are a fraction the size of their predecessors.
Moore’s Law has not died. We have just reached a mild setback as we have been too reliant on improving existing technology. If we can refocus our efforts on innovation, then we can hopefully rekindle Moore’s Law and the processing speed of computers will grow to the point where they will be able to handle the new challenges presented in industry and our daily lives.


K. Smith is the founder of Engineer-a-Business a website that provides resources to technology entrepreneurs and established technology businesses. Resources that are provided for entrepreneurs include trending information, new opportunities in technology entrepreneurship and general advice on specific business processes. These services can be valuable to any technology company, whether they are a start-up or a seasoned company.
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